Monsoon processes
This session covered the seasonal predictability and natural variability
of monsoon climates on all time-scales from intra-seasonal to inter-decadal.
In addition, the session covered the interaction between different time
and space scales. Issues that the session included:
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Skill of GCMs in simulating monsoon variability and the problems
associated with model systematic errorUse of advanced statistical
techniques in characterising monsoon variability and assessing model
skill
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Assessment of the seasonal predictability of monsoons using both
statistical analysis of observational data and ensembles of model
integrations
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Origins of monsoon predictability particularly, the role of regional
SST anomalies
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Future variability of
monsoon rainfall on intraseasonal to interannual timescales
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Decadal variability of
monsoons in the context of climate change
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Use of high resolution
models to assess regional climate change
Key note presentations were given by:
Dr Herve Douville (Meteo France, France)
Dr Kumar R. Kolli (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, India)
Dr Willi May (Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark)
Dr Franco Molteni (International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Italy)
Professor J. Shukla (Center for Ocean Land Atmosphere processes, USA)
Dr David Stephenson (Department of Meteorology, University of Reading,
U.K>)
Dr Benjamin Sultan (Meteo France, France)
Links to all available powerpoint presentations and abstracts
1. Ocean-Atmosphere interactions
2. Monsoon forecasting
and predictability
3. Monsoon variability
4. Modelling monsoons
5. Future monsoons
The following links describe the PROMISE project's contribution to
this topic:
WP1000 Natural variability
of monsoon climates
WP1100 Seasonal predictability
of monsoon climates
WP1200 Sensitivity of monsoon
variability/predictability to SST forcing
WP2000 Assessment
of future monsoon climates in response to anthropogenic climate change
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