Promise

Introduction	Original Proposal	EU Reports
Posters and powerpoint presentations	Publications	Administration
Conference reports	Links to end users	2003 Conference

Conference on Climate variability and land-surface processes: Physical Interactions and Regional Impacts

11-14 June

J. Slingo

Overview of the PROMISE project

Session 1 - Future Climate Scenarios

P. Cox	The role of the terrestrial biosphere in climate change
J.F. Royer	Impact of greenhouse warming on African monsoon
W. May	Simulated changes in the Indian summer monsoon under enhanced greenhouse gas conditions in a global time-slice experiment (extended abstract in pdf format)

Session 2 - Variability and predictability of monsoon circulations and tropical rainfall

D. Rowell	Relationship between Mediterranean SST and Sahel rainfal variability
S. Trzaska	An improvement of June-September rainfall forecasting in the Sahel based upon regional April-May moist static energy content
B. Sultan	West African monsoon variability at intra-seasonal time scales
E. Black	An observational study of the relationship between East African rainfall and Indian Ocean SST
R. Kershaw	Interannual variability of the Asian summer monsoon in a development version of the Hadley Centre climate model powerpoint presentation (66Kb)
K. Sperber	Predictability of the Asian summer monsoon
D. Stephenson	Is there any skill in seasonal monsoon forecasts?

Session 3 - Land surface processes: modelling aspects and sensitivity studies

P. Viterbo	Sensitivity experiments with the TESSEL scheme in ther ERA-40 version of the ECMWF model
S. Hagemann	The 40-year ECMWF Reanalysis dataset: First validation of the hydrological cycle
R. Stockli	Satellite-derived state of vegation and land surface parameters servating as space- and time-varying boundary conditions in SVATS modelling
H. Douville	Land surface hydrology: parametrization in GCMs and impacts on the interannual variability
R. Schnur	The Hamburg-Jena modelling framework for land surface-vegetation feedbacks on climate variability with applicaitons to the North African monsoon system
D. Lawrence	Interactive vegetation and soil moisture dynamics in monsoon simulations with the Unified Model
T. Chase	Land-atmosphere interactions at the regional scale and their influence on global climate
K. Laval	Influence of soil water-holding capacitiy on the global water cycle

Session 4 - Modelling and impact studies on land-use change, hydrology and agriculture

L. Mearns	Impacts of climate change on crops and coupling crop growth into climate models: Points of contact
C. Taylor	Climatic impacts of land use change in the Sahel
J. Shukla	Model simulations of land-atmosphere interactions
E. Tate	A grid-based approach to assess the impacts of climate change and land-use change on the water resources of West Africa
A. Challinor	Development of crop models for combined seasonal weather and crop forecasting systems (I)
T. Wheeler	Development of crop models for combined seasonal weather and crop forecasting systems (II)
C. Baron	A simple crop model for sorghum, millet and groundnut to translate PROMISE climate simulations into agronomic scenarios
A. Samba	Using a water balance model (DHC) for pearl millet yield forecasting in the Sahelian regions of West Africa powerpoint presentation (1.4Mb)

Session 5 - Regional Studies: Asia

R.K. Kolli	Regional aspects of global climate change: the South Asian context
D. Lohar	Impact of land use/land cover alterations and its possible impact on premonsoon climatic variables over Gngetic West Bengal and its neighbourhood, India
S. Hasnain	Climate change, shrinking glaciers and floods in the Himalayas
G. Wu	Tibetan plateau and global climate
J. Lu	A simulation study of atmosphere-vegetation interaction over the Tibetan Plateau

Session 6 - Regional Studies: North America and Europe

S. Seneviratne	Risks of summer dryness in mid-latitudes: a process study with a regional climate model
J. Pal	Modelling local and remote impacts of soil moisture on North American summer climate
K. Findell	Atmospheric control on soil moisture - boundary layer interactions within the continental United States
P.L. Vidale	Interannual variability in European vegetation function and climate from the point of view of regional modelling
E. Savin	Adaptation of a hydrological model to the Romanian Plain

Session 7 - Regional Studies: Africa

B. Abiodun	A numerical investigation of the effect of land-surface heterogeneity on the sea breeze circulations along the coast of Dakar
H.M. Hasanean	Associations between stream flow over River Nile and global climate events
N. Abdalla Saeed	Use of climate simulations in studies of land-use change and agricultural impact case study (Kordofan area- North-West Sudan)
C. Museruka	The low level of pluviometry in the East area of Rwanda